Assessment of Climate change range shift of Barley in Pakistan by using Ecological Niche Models

Abstract

Climate variation is among the prime aspects which has a significant effect on the biodiversity and ecological assemblages. The impact of climatic changes in the agricultural production is associated with temperature, precipitation and carbon dioxide concentration. To forecast the effects of climatic variations on the distribution and yield of crops, ecological niche models are generally used. This study focuses on exploring the suitable areas of Barley in Pakistan, assess the climate variation impact on its production, predict the future (2070) distribution of Hordeum vulgare (barley) and estimate the range shift.